DATA FORECASTING USING KALMAN FILTER ' Alessandro GIROLAMI

نویسنده

  • Edson L. URSINI
چکیده

This paper shows the "Sequential PrQjection Algorithm" application results, originated by the Bell System [1] and [2], forecasting the yearly representative traffic" values (YRV*) of III different route types of four years data (1983-1986), one step ahead. A seasonal algorithm using monthly data (MRV*) [3], will support the former, however, requiring an exact determination of parameters to successfully forecast twelve steps ahead. The EM Algorithm, Shumway [4], will accomplish this task. The EM results analysis, using 42 MRV of the same data period, allows us to attain a new improved 12 steps ahead -M-Robust(SPA) algorithm.

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تاریخ انتشار 2011